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File: ENSO_WinterOutlook_verification_precipitation_2022.png

Winter Precipitation Outlook 2021-2022. Blue areas (left) forecast and observed (right) indicate above-average precipitation. Tan areas reflect forecast and observed below-average precipitation. Dry areas were forecast across the south and that was mostly observed.

Image caption

(left) Precipitation forecast for December-February 2021-22, made in mid-November. The colors show the forecast category with the highest probability. White areas are where all three outcomes (wet, dry, average) were equally likely (each had a 33.3% chance of happening). (right) Observed precipitation category for December-February 2021-22. Climate.gov image based on CPC data.